Vice President Harris and former President Trump are virtually tied in the critical “blue wall” state of Wisconsin, according to a poll released Wednesday.
In Marquette Law School research of registered voters in Wisconsin – held July 24-Aug. 1st, shortly after President Biden ended his re-election bid and endorsed Harris – Trump leads Harris in a two-way race, 50% to 49%.
Among likely voters in Wisconsin, however, the numbers were reversed, with Harris taking the lead, 50% to 49%, in a two-way race.
Harris gets the biggest boost from a multi-candidate race that includes independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver, Green Party candidate Jill Stein and others.
Among registered voters in Wisconsin, Harris led Trump by 2 points in the multi-candidate race, 45% to 43%, reversing the 1-point lead Trump had in the two-way race. Kennedy got 8%, and Oliver and Stein each got 1%. No other candidate reached this threshold.
Among likely voters, Harris maintained her 1-point lead in a multi-candidate race: Harris received 46 percent, Trump got 45 percent, Kennedy got 6 percent, Oliver got 1 percent, and Stein got 1 percent.
In a poll taken before the Biden-Trump debate in June, Biden’s head-to-head performance against Trump was 1 point stronger than Harris’s recent performance, among both registered voters and likely voters.
Among registered voters in Wisconsin, Biden and Trump each received 50% support. Among likely voters in Wisconsin, Biden led Trump by 2 points, 51% to 49%.
Wisconsin is among the key swing states that both candidates consider critical to winning the November election. The poll was conducted before Harris became the party’s official nominee and before she chose Minnesota Governor Tim Walz to be her running mate.
The survey included 877 registered voters, with a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points. It included 801 likely voters, with a margin of error of 4.8 percentage points.
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