Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) leads his Republican opponent Bernie Moreno by 4 points in a race that could help decide which party controls the Senate, according to a new poll.
The AARP poll released Thursday showed Brown ahead with 46 percent support to Moreno’s 42 percent, while 11 percent were undecided and 1 percent supported another candidate. Polls found Brown ahead, with certain key constituencies contributing to his narrow lead.
Moreno led Brown by 2 points among voters aged 50 and over, who are the age group most committed to voting in November, at 94 percent. of them saying that. But Brown led by 11 points among voters ages 18 to 49.
And in the 50 and older age group, Moreno is ahead by 5 points among those 50 to 64, but Brown is 1 point ahead among those 65 and older.
The incumbent also owes his leadership to his party’s greater support than Moreno’s and leadership among independents.
More than 90% of Democrats polled said they supported Brown, while just over 75% of Republicans said they supported Moreno.
Brown led among independents 46% to 34%, although 20% said they were undecided.
Brown is running for another term in an increasingly red-leaning state that voted for former President Trump in 2016 and 2020. He managed to hang on while his state underwent political changes, but Republicans hope to seize this opportunity to unseat him.
Still, polls have mostly shown potential good news for Brown, and the average of polls from Decision Desk HQ and The Hill have him ahead of Moreno by nearly 5 points.
The AARP survey was conducted July 23-28 from interviews with 1,384 likely voters to arrive at a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters for the survey results. The margin of error for the sample of 600 voters was 4 percentage points.
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