Biden’s support among Black voters in swing states is weaker compared to 2020. But so far, they are not flocking to Trump.

• Biden’s support among Black voters in swing states has cooled considerably compared to 2020.

• Still, he maintained the support of a majority of blacks in the swing states of Michigan and Pennsylvania, according to new polls.

• Trump hopes to win over more black voters but is not benefiting from Biden’s weaker numbers.

Former President Donald Trump is trying to chip away at President Joe Biden’s support among Black voters this fall, but new polls in swing states show the former president still has a long way to go.

This is not to say that Biden is currently dominating this critical group.

Before November, Biden is struggling to recreate the electoral coalition – anchored by the overwhelming support among black voters – that sent him to the White House in 2020.

The most recently USAToday/Suffolk University Survey of black voters in Michigan showed Biden leading Trump 54.4% to 15.2%, with 8% of respondents opting for independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 6.2% of respondents supporting independent Cornel West, and 1% of respondents supporting Green Party candidate Jill Stein. The same survey showed that 13.8% of black respondents were undecided.

A similar story played out in Pennsylvania, where black voters in that state opted for Biden over Trump, 56.2% to 10.8%, with 7.6% of respondents choosing West, 7.4% of respondents supporting Kennedy Jr. ., and 1% of respondents opting for Stein. And 13.8% of black respondents were undecided, a mirror image of the Michigan poll.

In 2020, Black voters in both Michigan It is Pennsylvania supported Biden over Trump by a whopping 92% to 7% margin, according to exit polls.

Although Biden continues to win a majority of black voters in both states, his support among this group has declined considerably. And although Trump remains optimistic that he can win more black support, he has only marginally improved his 2020 performance.

The swing state poll shows that one of the biggest threats to Biden being able to replicate his previously robust performance with black voters is the emergence of third-party candidates, as well as the share of undecided voters — which includes voters who could potentially stay out of the elections if they are not persuaded to go to the polls.

For many black voters who are critical of Biden over the conflict in Gaza or are skeptical of the president’s handling of the economy, third-party candidates — as well as Trump — are potential options.

And it’s one of the reasons Biden’s campaign is increasing your advertising and outreach in an effort to attract black voters, aware that the intensity of their support in key swing states could be an X-factor in the race.

Read the original article at Business Insider