A majority of registered voters say they expect former President Trump to be convicted on some or all charges in his ongoing criminal trial in New York, according to a poll released Tuesday.
O Suffolk University/USA Today Researchconducted from April 30 to May 3, shows that 65.1 percent of registered voters expect the jury to return a verdict of guilty on all charges (14.8 percent) or guilty on some charges (50.3 percent). cent).
Another 23.1 percent of registered voters say they expect Trump to be found innocent on all charges, 10.3 percent are undecided, while 1.5 percent refused to answer.
Trump faces 34 felony counts of falsifying business records related to reimbursements to his former fixer, Michael Cohen, who paid porn star Stormy Daniels $130,000 to keep silent about an alleged affair she had with the former president before the 2016 elections. It is the first of four criminal trials that Trump could face.
The survey didn’t give respondents much information about the trial, only saying, “We’re almost halfway through the Trump hush money trial in New York City,” before asking for “just your best guess” about what the verdict will be. jury. to be. Respondents were given five answers to select from.
Research reveals a clear link between party affiliation and predicted trial verdict.
Among Democrats and those who “lean” Democratic, 85.7 percent expect Trump to be found guilty on all charges (22.5 percent) or guilty on some charges (63.2 percent). Just 7.8% of Democrats expect Trump to be found innocent on all charges.
Opinions among Republicans and Republican-leaning registered voters are divided. Of these, 45.8 percent expect Trump to be found guilty on all charges (8.7 percent) or guilty on some charges (37.2 percent), while 40.7 percent expect Trump to be found not guilty on all charges.
A recent PBS NewsHour/NPR/Marist Poll, taken during the first week of testimony in the trial, indicates that many Americans are not paying attention to events in the New York courtroom. In that survey, 55 percent said they were not following the trial very much or at all, compared to 45 percent who said they were paying some or a lot of attention.
The survey interviewed 1,000 registered voters by telephone. It had a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.
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