Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey (D) leads his Republican challenger David McCormick six months before Election Day, according to a new Emerson College/The Hill swing state poll released Tuesday.
The poll found that 46% of Pennsylvania voters said they supported Casey in the race, while 42% said they supported McCormick. Another 12% said they were undecided. The gap between the two candidates remained unchanged from when the last Emerson College/The Hill poll was conducted last month. In March, Casey led McCormick 45% to 41%. However, the number of undecided voters was slightly higher, at 14 percent.
The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates the race as “lean Democratic.”
Although the latest Emerson College/The Hill poll showed Casey with a lead in the Keystone State, the race is tight at the presidential level. A state presidential poll conducted by Emerson College and The Hill showed former President Trump leading President Biden 47 to 45 percent, which is within the margin of error. Eight percent of voters said they were undecided.
Pennsylvania is one of the swing states that Trump flipped in 2016, defeating then-Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton by less than one point. However, Biden managed to win back in 2020, winning by just over a point.
The Emerson College/The Hill poll was conducted April 25-29 among 1,000 registered voters in Pennsylvania and has a credibility interval, similar to a poll’s margin of error, of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
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