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General Election: How does the weather affect voter mood and turnout? | Politics News

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For almost 100 years, general elections took place on a Thursday, but the time of year has changed.

They mainly take place in spring or summer, but the last one in 2019 was held in December.

In this election, it was thought that turnout would be poor, due to the lack of daylight and the possibility of wintry conditions.

In fact, an article from the House of Commons library states that turnout in 2019 was 67.3%, a drop of just 1.5% compared to the June 2017 election when there was over eight hours of overtime. daylight.

The article also mentions that it was higher than the four previous elections, all of which were held in May or June.

Experts say there is no correlation between the weather and voter turnout.

The same will happen with the climate for the general elections This year will be as memorable as when the Prime Minister made the announcement in May.

More about the 2024 General Election

Image:
Soaked Rishi Sunak announces election date


It rained heavily when Rishi Sunak announced the election date, completely drenching him with no umbrella to hand.

With a week left until the public goes to polling stations, it is still a little early to know the exact timing details.

‘The weather can shape the mood of a campaign’

Sky News spoke to Dr Robert Saunders, reader in British history at Queen Mary University of London, about the impact weather has on the general election.

“I suspect the weather has less of an impact on turnout than the mood and character of the campaign.

“Jeremy Corbyn had great success with outdoor rallies in May 2017; this was much harder to do in December 2019 when it was cold, dark and horrible.

“It is no coincidence that the Winter of Discontent of 1978-79 occurred during one of the coldest winters of the decade, or that patience with wage restraint broke down among people who spent a lot of time outdoors: gravediggers, trying to dig out frozen ground. ; truck drivers, sitting in unheated taxis or garbage men, collecting rubbish early in the morning.

“Similarly, the massive strikes of 1911 took place in the hottest summer since records began.

“They were particularly violent among people who did physical work near hot machinery, like railway workers, or in the hot sun, like dock workers.

“So the effect of the weather on voting day may be minimal, but it can shape the mood of a campaign or the issues that people feel strongly about.”

Read more on Sky News:
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How will Britain’s ethnically diverse communities vote?

After the heat and sunshine seen this week, models suggest things will be more changeable in early July, perhaps wetter in the northwest and drier in the southeast.

Temperatures will likely be around average for the time of year – in the 20s in the South, and in the 20s in the North.

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It certainly doesn’t seem to be as hot as the June 1970 election, when England, Wales and Scotland reached 28.3°C, 27.8°C and 26.9°C respectively.

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Northern Ireland’s warmest general election took place in 1945, the last time the UK held an election in July.

The wettest general elections have all taken place in autumn or winter, but interestingly one of the snowiest took place in May 1979, when Princetown in Devon had 13cm.



This story originally appeared on News.sky.com read the full story

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