As Invest 92L approaches the Florida-Georgia coast Friday morning, the National Hurricane Center is also tracking another system in the Gulf of Mexico.
Both tropical disturbances have the potential to develop into a tropical depressionalthough the window of opportunity is small for Invest 92L.
The small area of showers and thunderstorms designated as IVest 92L is expected to reach shore until Friday night.
In the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, environmental conditions appear favorable for the development of a tropical depression during the weekend.
➤ WeatherTiger on Invest 92L: Impacts in Florida will be a little different than a typical day in June
The next named storm of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season will be Beryl.
Here’s the latest update from the NHC at 8 a.m. June 21:
Invest 92L: Where is it and how could it impact Florida?
Invest 92L: A small area of showers and thunderstorms persists with a low pressure system located about 150 miles east-southeast of Jacksonville.
An Air Force Reserve aircraft is currently investigating the system to determine if the low has a well-defined surface circulation.
Environmental conditions remain marginally conducive to some additional development, and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression as the low moves west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
The system is expected to make landfall on the northeast coast of Florida or Georgia by this evening, and residents should monitor its progress.
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Chance of formation in 48 hours: average, 50%.
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Chance of formation in 7 days: average, 50 percent.
Impact of 92L on Florida: Invest 92L approaching Florida, Georgia. Track the system, see possible impacts
Spaghetti Models for Invest 92L Heading to Florida, Georgia
Special note about spaghetti models: The illustrations include a range of forecasting tools and models, not all of which are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the four or five best-performing models to help make its predictions.
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What else is there and how likely is it to become stronger?
Southwest Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over southeastern Mexico later today.
Environmental conditions appear ripe for gradual development after this system moves over the Bay of Campeche tonight, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend as it slowly moves west-northwest or northwest.
Residents along the Gulf Coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
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Chance of formation in 48 hours: average, 50%.
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Chance of formation in 7 days: average, 60 percent.
Who is likely to be affected?
Invest 92L: “Regardless of development, this feature may bring high seas, gusty winds and areas of heavy rain and thunderstorms on the Southeast Coast,” said AccuWeather meteorologist Andrew Kienzle.
Rip currents will increase in strength and frequency from the east-central coast of Florida to North Carolina.
“Within the heaviest rain bands, localized flash flooding may occur,” said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski,
Wind gusts directly along the coast could reach 25-35 mph as the investment moves northwest, AccuWeather said.
Southwest Gulf of Mexico: This system will need to be observed to “possible impacts on the Gulf coasts from the United States and Mexico this weekend through early next week,” Kienzle said.
Depending on the intensity and trajectory of this new disturbance, rain, wind, coastal flooding and waves will likely accumulate again along much of the coast of Texas and northeastern Mexico, according to AccuWeather.
Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and always be prepared. This advice is particularly important for what is expected to be a very active hurricane season.
Weather Watches and Warnings Issued in Florida
When is Atlantic hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th.
When is peak hurricane season?
The peak of the season is September 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.
National Hurricane Center Map: What are forecasters watching now?
Systems currently monitored by the National Hurricane Center include:
Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that passed close to your city
Excessive rainfall forecast
What is the next?
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This article originally appeared on Treasure Coast Newspapers: NHC: Tropical depressions possible in Florida, Gulf of Mexico
