IPL 2024 playoffs scenario and updated points table: The race for the 2024 Indian Premier League (IPL) playoffs is intensifying by the day. Delhi Capitals’ victory over Lucknow Super Giants on Tuesday means that five teams are still fighting each other for two play-off places in IPL 2024. So far, Kolkata Knight Riders (19 in 13 matches) and second-placed Rajasthan Royals (16 points from 12 matches) are officially through. RR is still not sure of finishing in the top two. However, the most intense fight is between the other five teams for two places. They are – Chennai Super Kings, SunRisers Hyderabad, Royal Challengers Bengaluru, Delhi Capitals and Lucknow Super Giants.
Delhi Capitals’ victory over Lucknow Super Giants means they are still in the race for the playoffs. This also means the other three teams have an extra team to fight for a playoff spot. However, both DC and LSG have little chance of advancing.
Chennai Super Kings – 14 points from 13 matches (NRR +0.528)
Remaining matches – 1 (vs RCB)
Ruturaj Gaikwad-led Chennai Super Kings have a good chance. They have 14 points from 13 matches (NRR +0.528). If they beat RCB, they are through. A defeat to RCB in the last league game will also not eliminate the defending champions. They would then hope that RCB does not overtake them in the NRR. If LSG wins their last game (and makes it to 14), CSK will still be favorites to progress due to a much higher NRR. They also expect SRH (14 in 12 games) to lose both matches so it will be easier.
Sunrisers Hyderabad – 14 points from 12 matches (NRR +0.406)
Remaining matches – 2 (against GT and PBKS)
Wins in the remaining two matches will guarantee a playoff spot for SRH. Even if you lose one of your matches, you will still move forward. If they lose both games, it will come down to net run rate. If SRH loses the remaining two matches while LSG and RCB win their last games, the Pat Cummins-led team will have to depend on NRR to be in the top 4. If CSK beats RCB and SRH loses both games, they will hope to maintain a better run rate than LSG and DC to secure the final play-off spots.
SRH can still finish above RR if the team wins both games and the latter loses points.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru – 12 points from 13 games (NRR +0.387)
Remaining Games – 1 (vs CSK)
Riding a five-game winning streak, RCB made a huge comeback. They only won one of their first seven games, but since then they are a completely different team. For RCB to qualify, they need to beat Chennai Super Kings to reach 14 points. They would then expect their NRR to be above the other teams vying for the fourth playoff spot. They would also expect SRH to lose the remaining two games or LSG not to win the last match by a large margin.
Delhi Capitals – 14 points from 14 matches (NRR -0.377)
Remaining matches – 0
The fate of Delhi Capitals is not in their own hands. It will have to depend on the results of the other matches. If DC want to qualify, they will hope that three of the four teams – SRH, CSK, RCB and LSG – drop points in their last games and lose by huge margins. In this scenario, teams with 14 points will depend on NRR to advance.
Lucknow Super Giants – 12 points from 13 games (NRR -0.787)
Remaining matches – 1 (vs MI)
The Super Giants’ run rate is simply pathetic. Their 10-wicket loss to SunRisers Hyderabad saw them slip to -0.769. After the loss to DC, it dropped to -0.787. The run rate they have is the worst among the four teams chasing fourth place.
They are practically out of the play-off race. They would first need to win the last match by a very large margin. They also expect two CSK, SRH and RCB to lose their games by very large margins.
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